2005/02/05

Sistani tsunami?



"Americans are in for a shock," said Sharif Ali bin Hussein, head of the Constitutional Monarchy Party. He likened the Iraq election outcome to a "Sistani tsunami" that would shake the nation.

So far the totals are showing U.S.-backed Prime Minister Ayad Allawi's coalition is being roundly defeated by a list with the backing of Iraq's senior Shiite cleric, Grand Ayatollah Ali al- Sistani, diminishing Allawi's chances of retaining his post in the next government.

Allawi, a secular Shiite and onetime CIA protege, trails far behind with only 18 percent of the votes, despite an aggressive television ad campaign waged with U.S. aid. A lopsided majority of votes, 72 percent, went to the United Iraqi Alliance list, topped by a Shiite cleric who lived in Iran for many years and whose Sciri party has close ties to Iran's clerical regime. More than a third of the alliance's vote came from Baghdad, the cosmopolitan capital where Allawi had been expected to fare well.

The election commission also released final vote tallies from overseas voters in eight countries. The alliance won of 44 percent of the 170,000 votes cast with Allawi getting just 5% of the vote.

The election happening as it did is due more to Sistani's insistance than the CPA. Their original plan was a caucus system for choosing a transitional government determined by the Iraqi Governing Council and approved by them.

It's still early and Western officials in Baghdad are downplaying a possible victory by the alliance. But, since most Sunnis didn't vote and looking at the totals today there is a reasonable chance of a Sistani victory. If this happens what next? Sistani is supposedly more in favor of a secular government. But, will he side with the US over Iran?

6 Comments:

OMG Dianne you are psychic. Last night I had the exact same title for a post in mind: Sistani Tsunami! Awesome :) 

Posted by Sarah
2/05/2005 05:34:00 pm  
LOL Not exactly psychic, Sarah. I took the title from a quote. Please do post something on this anyway. I'm sure you have a much better take on this than I do and I would enjoy what you have to say.  

Posted by Dianne
2/05/2005 10:25:00 pm  
“Dianne you are psychic”.

Nah... she's just beginning to learn how to hack into ppl's minds :-) 

Posted by WhyNot
2/05/2005 11:24:00 pm  
I wonder if Bush won't now declare the election invalid.

 

Posted by WhyNot
2/05/2005 11:27:00 pm  
"But, will he side with the US over Iran?"

Let's hope he sides with the Iraqi people ... this election wasn't to serve Iran or the US.

 

Posted by Anonymous
2/06/2005 06:17:00 pm  
“Let's hope he sides with the Iraqi people ... this election wasn't to serve Iran or the US.”.

Amen. 

Posted by WhyNot
2/06/2005 08:47:00 pm  

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